Critical Thinking
Medium
2 min
A person says, "I have never missed a train, so I will definitely catch today's train." What logical problem exists?
Hint
Past success does not guarantee a future event.
Answer
The conclusion is not guaranteed by the evidence.
Explanation
A perfect past record does not ensure the future outcome. Today could involve delays, traffic or other unexpected circumstances.
Step-by-Step Solution
Past events = successful.
Future event = uncertain.
Therefore certainty is not logically justified.
Future event = uncertain.
Therefore certainty is not logically justified.